Thursday, June 19, 2008

Cancel Your PMI Before It's Too Late To Cancel It

When homeowners borrow more than 80 percent of a home's value, mortgage lenders often require a corresponding insurance policy called Private Mortgage Insurance.

PMI provides a cash payment to lenders in the event of a homeowner defaults.

But because PMI policies are designed for high LTV loans only, they usually contain cancellation options for when home equity percentages reach 20 percent or more.

In other words, PMI can be temporary.

There is a caveat, however: Lenders will not automatically remove mortgage insurance when LTV falls below 80 percent -- the onus is on the homeowner to initiate a formal request.

Earlier this decade -- when home values were soaring -- many PMI-paying homeowners recognized their equity growth and successfully petitioned out from PMI.

Many other homeowners, however, forgot.

So today, as home values stagnate or depress in different U.S. markets, homeowners eligible for cancellation may find that both their home equity and their right to cancel have vanished.

PMI helps makes high LTV loans possible, but there's no reason to pay it longer than necessary. If your current mortgage requires PMI payments and your loan-to-value lurks below 80 percent, contact your mortgage lender to start the PMI cancellation process.

Or, if you're unsure about your home's value and the 80 percent threshold, call or email me anytime and I can help you connect with somebody to give you the answers you need.

Is The Federal Reserve Telegraphing Its Next Rate Hike?

The Federal Reserve is stumping hard on inflation this week, creating speculation that Fed Funds Rate hikes may be in store for later this month.

This is a counter-intuitive development because increases to the Fed Funds Rate are typically associated with periods of rapid economic expansion.

Lately, we've seen anything but.

Witness:

Despite the downbeat news, though, multiple Fed members are taking a hard line on inflation, adding that a strong dollar support the economy and help to offset high oil prices.

A rate hike could help accomplish that goal.

If the Federal Reserve votes to raise the Fed Funds Rate, Prime Rate will rise in tandem. Prime Rate is the basis of interest rates for credit cards and home equity credit lines. Holders of each debt type, therefore, would face higher monthly payments.

Mortgage rates, by contrast, would be expected to fall, but how the market would actually react to a rate hike is anyone's guess.

The Federal Reserve meets 8 times annually. Its next meeting is a two-day affair beginning June 24.

(Image courtesy: The New York Times)

Why Your "Dear Seller" Letter May Be Met With A "Dear John"

Several years ago, when homes sometimes sold within hours, prospective buyers often drafted "Dear Seller" letters, an accompanying personal note to help purchase offers stand out in a multiple-bid situation.

Today, some buyers are writing a different kind of letter to win a seller's favor -- a letter explaining why the buyer's offer is so far below the seller's asking price.

You can't blame buyers for trying to explain themselves, but after reading this tongue-in-cheek piece from The New York Times, it's clear that real estate negotiations between a buyer and a seller are simply a matter of perspective.

Whereas a buyer may use Fear to get his price, a seller may counter with Hope.

The article drafts a buyer letter and a suggested seller response. Both letters are powerful and persuasive, and hint at the real truth in real estate -- that reaching a purchase price agreement is only as difficult as finding a buyer and a seller committed to working together.

And that match happens every day in every city in America -- even the ones in which the housing market is reeling the most.

It's been said that a listing price is just a starting point for conversation, but if that conversation starts with "Dear Seller" and the seller is feeling hopeful, don't be surprised if you get a Dear John in response.

(Image source: The New York Times)

Friday, June 6, 2008

Why It's Good News For Home Buyers When Unemployment Rates Surge

On the first Friday of every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report.

More commonly called the "jobs report", today's 2-page analysis of May 2008 shows that the economy shed jobs and that unemployment surged.

This is terrific news for home affordability.

That may sound counter-intuitive, so let's dig deeper into the jobs report and what it really tells us about the U.S. economy.

Over the last year, rising food and energy costs have chipped away at household budgets, leaving Americans with two basic choices:

Spend less on discretionary items like vacations and dining out
Demand more pay at work so they can vacation and dine out
If Americans choose to spend less, the economy eventually slows down because two-thirds of it is tied to Consumer Spending. This is anti-inflationary.

But, if Americans demand pay raises instead, businesses eventually pass those higher wage costs back to consumers in the form of higher prices.

This is called a "wage-price spiral" and it's very inflationary.

So, because today's jobs report showed unemployment surging by a half-percent to 5.5%, Americans really have no choice but to follow the "Spend Less" path -- they're not in a position to demand more pay at work.

Today's jobs data is good for home affordability because it relieves inflationary pressures in the economy and when inflation is falling, mortgage rates tend to do the same.

Better mortgage rates mean less expensive housing payments.

Source
Employment Situation Summary
BLS.gov, June 6, 2008

(Image courtesy: Wall Street Journal)

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Wednesday, June 4, 2008

160 Million “We’re So Sorry’s” and One Big Opportunity

We’re so sorry, Uncle Albert

We’re so sorry if we caused you any pain

We’re so sorry, Uncle Albert

But there’s no one left at home

And I believe I’m gonna rain


Can you say “We’re so sorry” 160 times? And do it again a million times over?

That’s exactly what one credit bureau promised last week.


In the largest class action settlement in US history, credit reporting giant TransUnion agreed to a preliminary settlement in Chicago federal court Wednesday that would provide 160 million Americans free access to their credit scores and six months of credit monitoring with no strings attached.


“This is astonishing,” said Ken McEldowney, executive director of Consumer Action, a national advocacy group based in San Francisco. “It’s everything we tell consumers that they need to find out if they have problems with their credit. They are getting information on how to improve it and information about whether they are creditworthy,” said McEldowney.


The settlement entitles consumers to six months of a TransUnion monitoring service—the one I use myself—that allows them access to information in their credit reports as well as their current scores at any time.


And for those of us who love being lazy, it even notifies subscribers by email of significant changes to their files, including reports of late payments or accounts opened in their names. TransUnion normally sells the service for $59.75 or more—meaning the settlement is worth as much as $10 billion.


How did borrowers get so lucky? Plaintiffs in the case alleged that anyone who had a credit file maintained by TransUnion (nearly half the U.S. population) were inundated with junk mail from marketers who bought data from the credit reporting giant. Federal law prohibits the sale of a person’s private credit information except under certain circumstances, such as when he or she has applied for a loan. The plaintiffs argued TransUnion crossed the line in the sale of private information.


The settlement represents a big opportunity to both borrowers and TransUnion. By filing a claim under the lawsuit, eligible plaintiffs receive 6 to 9 months of free access to one of the industry’s premier credit monitoring services. TransUnion offers a wide range of credit monitoring and educational resources.


The settlement represents a boon to TransUnion in that the company does not admit to any wrongdoing and at the same time offers a free trial to 160 million potential customers. Six months is more than enough time to get a handle on your credit profile, and it’s likely that after a free trial lasting 6 to 9 months, many will continue to subscribe to the company’s service.


Anyone who had any type of loan account between January 1987 and last Wednesday (and there must be some sort of prize for anyone who does not fit in that category!) is eligible to file a claim under the settlement. Claims can be filed starting June 16th at the settlement web site https://www.listclassaction.com/ or by calling 866-416-3470.


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(Source: Chicago Tribune, May 31, 2008, Kathy Kristof)

The Proper Way To Give And Receive Gifts For Downpayments

When a home buyer is gifted cash for a downpayment, there is a right way and a wrong way to receive the funds.

The right way includes:
  • Completing an acceptable gift letter
  • Documenting the withdrawal of funds with receipts
  • Documenting the deposit of funds with receipts
The wrong way is to ignore the rules that mortgage lenders clearly spell out for you.

Mortgage lenders watch gifts closely because they want to make sure that the "gift" is not really a loan-in-disguise. If it's a loan, the total dollar amount must be counted against the home's total loan-to-value and higher loan-to-values typically increase lender risk.

If it's a gift, a signed and dated gift letter should accompany the home loan application. An example:

I am the [relationship to recipient] of [name of recipient] and this letter serves as evidence that I am gifting [name of recipient] [amount of gift] to be used for the purchase of the home at [complete address of property].


This is a gift -- not a loan -- and there is no expectation of repayment.


Signed, [Signature of donor]


For additional evidence that the gift is legitimate, the recipient should make sure that deposited funds are not commingled at the bank. If the gift is for $12,000, for example, then the recipient's bank deposit receipt should indicate that a $12,000 deposit was made.

There may be legal and tax liabilities when gifting funds between family members so if you're unsure about how donating or receiving a gift may impact you, call or email me. If I can't answer your question, I can certainly refer you to somebody that can.

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Did You Know : The Lifespan Of A Mortgage Approval

Mortgage approvals don't last forever.

A conforming mortgage approval from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac has a shelf-life of 120 days.

After 120 days, the approval expires and a mortgage applicant must re-submit his application for consideration.

In addition, a mortgage approval can "expire" within the 120-day period for other reasons:

-- Change of job status or income
-- Newly-acquired monthly debt (i.e. car payment, student loan)
-- Change in asset levels

If your current mortgage approval (or pre-approval) is dated prior to February 3, 2008, it is now expired and your new approval may be subject to Fannie Mae's new, more strict, underwriting guidelines.

Sunday, June 1, 2008

Guess What Number Could Doom Your Loan Now (Hint: It’s Not Your Credit Score)

“I’m thinking of a number . . .”


Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the past 10 years, you've seen the ubiquitous FreeCredit.com commercial featuring a too-smart-for-his-own-good looking guy in a director’s chair and those 5 famous words.


In fact, I apologize if you’ve somehow finally succeeded in banishing this annoying phrase from your mind only to be reminded again by this post.


As annoying as this guy was, the commercial helped wake America up to the importance of the mysterious 3 digit number known as your credit score. Without the right number, your chances of qualifying for favorable interest rates—or qualifying for a mortgage at all—are often doomed from the start.


These days, however, there is a new number wreaking havoc with borrower’s attempts at obtaining mortgage financing. And unlike the credit score, there is virtually nothing borrowers can do to change it when it doesn’t come in at the right level.


The new number killing otherwise successful loan applications today? Appraisal value.


Several factors, all a function of the collapse of the mortgage market and subsequent declining home sales, have converged to give appraisal value an increasingly prominent role in loan approvals:


Declining markets


A new “declining market” designation has meant tighter lending guidelines for certain properties, reducing the maximum loan-to-value allowed on a given loan by as much as 5%. A loan originally approved for $285,000 on a $300,000 property in a declining market is now limited to $270,000—a $15,000 reduction in funds available to the borrower.


Tougher appraisal review


Appraisal reviews by lenders have resulted in greater scrutiny of appraisal reports. After reviewing an appraisal, the lender’s market review “experts” often order values to be reduced by tens of thousands of dollars before approving a loan. A recent legal settlement regarding mortgage broker-appraiser relationships will place even further restrictions on appraisal practices.


Foreclosure and short sales


Perhaps most important has been the rise in housing inventories, foreclosures and short sales. Slow sales and increased supply places downward pressure on home prices, while below-market sales resulting from foreclosure and short sale prices compound the pressure.


While it is illegal for loan officers to consult with or advise appraisers concerning home valuation, some lenders are setting up “valuation desks” independent of their appraiser to conduct preliminary searches of recent comparable sales data before ordering an appraisal. By considering whether recent comparable sales figures are likely to support the value needed for a loan to work, borrowers can better determine whether it’s worth it to order and pay for an appraisal for a property that may come up short in value.


Short of picking up and moving a house to a neighborhood that is retaining its values, there is little a borrower can do to compensate for the new threat to qualifying.


But judging from the number of borrowers stopped in their tracks by unfavorable appraisal values, the grating memory “I’m thinking of a number” conjures may help keep expectations realistic, and could even help save a few hundred dollars when the numbers don’t add up.

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Friday, May 30, 2008

The Impact of Falling Oil Prices on Mortgage Rates

Falling oil prices is one reason why mortgage rates are dropping for the first time in 6 days.

Oil is off $9 per barrel from last week, a shift that correlates to $0.23 per gallon of unleaded gas, roughly.

This drop is good news for both home buyers and "rate shoppers" -- high gas prices is partly to blame for rising mortgage rates this week.

The connection between oil prices and mortgage rates is not necessarily clear, but it goes like this:

  • High oil prices are linked to inflation
  • Inflation devalues the U.S. dollar
  • Mortgage bond repayments are made in U.S. dollars
Therefore, inflation devalues the payments made on mortgage bonds and investors typically avoid products with decreasing returns.

So, as demand for mortgage bonds fall, prices fall, too. This is basic Supply and Demand and many people "get" how that relationship works. But what is not so well known is that when the price of a bond falls, its corresponding interest rate goes up.

The reverse is true, too, and that's what we're seeing today. Because oil prices are falling, it's reducing one of the many inflationary pressures on the economy and mortgage bonds are suddenly more attractive to investors.

Higher demand means higher prices and lower yields. Mortgages rates are benefiting from the action this morning -- they're down about 0.125 percent across the board.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal)

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Why It Will Be Easier to Get a Mortgage Approval Today Than Monday

Mortgage financier Fannie Mae is toughening its mortgage application decision-making process effective Monday, June 2, 2008.

The new guidelines will force many Americans to face higher mortgage rates, higher loan fees, or to be shut out from "prime" mortgage rates altogether.
  • The new "mortgage rules" include the following changes:
  • Higher income levels required for basic approvals
  • Interest only loans are now considered high-risk
  • Condos are now considered high-risk
  • 60-day mortgage lates within 6 months are a major red flag
Not all of the changes are for the worse, though.

In the new guidelines, self-employed borrowers will no longer be viewed as more risky than a W-2 employee. This will help small business owners and commission salespeople get more mortgage approvals than in the past.

Fannie Mae agreed to honor all mortgage approvals granted prior to its changes, so if you've been putting off that pre-approval, consider talking to your loan officer before the weekend starts.

Your mortgage approval will be much more lenient today than if you wait until Monday.

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18 of 20 Real Estate Markets Show Signs of Improvement


The monthly Case-Shiller Housing Price Index is a popular and often-quoted measurement of the housing market's health. The chart above is sourced from its report published yesterday.

In 18 of the 20 largest metropolitan areas, home values declined at a slower pace than in the previously measured month. The report also showed that national home prices are down 14.4 percent from March 2007.

Unfortunately, it's the more sensation "14.4" figure that newspapers chose to report this morning. If you never went further than the headline, you'd miss a key piece of analysis.

Comparing today's market to last year's market is a lot less valuable than comparing it to last month's market. That's a better way to analyze the market's health.

If we look beyond the headline and examine the data behind it, we see that housing may still be sagging in some areas, but it's not sagging nearly as much as it used to.

(Image courtesy: Standard and Poor's)
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Friday, May 23, 2008

How Spiking Oil Prices Have Mortgage Rates In Tow

High oil prices are derailing the mortgage market this week, taking an almost-vertical path higher.

Since mid-February, prices are up by 50 percent.

Rising oil prices can be a threat the U.S. economy because with every extra dollar that Americans pay to energy companies, there is less money available for every other company that makes up our national economy.

Strangely, it comes at a time when the "other" companies need it the most -- their costs of operating are rising, too.

So, businesses are faced with a tough choice and both options prove poor for mortgage rates.

Keep prices level and suffer smaller margins (and profits). Pass higher costs onto consumers in the form of higher prices.

If profits suffer, job cuts and weak corporate spending can undermine an economic recovery. If higher costs are passed on, it leads to inflation and that devalues the U.S. dollar and mortgage bonds.

This is why mortgage rates have spiked along with oil prices this week. And, when oil prices level off a bit, we can expect that mortgage rates will, too.

Crude oil is up 1.8 percent this morning.

(Image courtesy: Wall Street Journal Online)

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Thursday, May 22, 2008

How We Know That Prime Rate Will Likely Rise Before It Falls

Three weeks after adjourning, Federal Reserve officials release detailed minutes of their most recent meeting.

The April 30, 2008 minutes were released Wednesday and it affirmed traders' beliefs that the Federal Reserve will not be in a hurry to lower the Fed Funds Rate again.

This is bad news for two groups of people whose borrowing costs are tied to Prime Rate, the interest rate that is 3 percentage points higher than the Fed Funds Rate:

Homeowners with home equity lines of credit
Americans with credit card debt

Because Prime Rate moves in lock-step with the Fed Funds Rate, it, too, has fallen by 3.25 percent since September and now rests at 5.000 percent.

With the release of the April FOMC Minutes, though, it appears that Prime Rate is more likely to increase than to decrease moving forward.

If your home equity line of credit offers a "convert-to-fixed-rate" option, now may be a good time to consider switching over. Be sure to talk with your loan officer first, though -- he/she may have alternate options for you.

(Image courtesy: The Wall Street Journal Online)


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Simple Real Estate Definition: Loan-to-Value

Loan-to-value is a math formula that represents the relationship between how much a home is "worth" and how much money is borrowed against it.

Loan-to-value is often abbreviated as "LTV" and is one of the many factors that lenders consider when underwriting a mortgage application.

The math formula is straightforward:





In the LTV equation, Loan Size is the amount of money borrowed from the bank and Home Value is the lower of the home's purchase price or appraised value.

Home loans with low loan-to-value ratios are usually less risky for banks. This is one reason why mortgage rates tend to be more favorable for home buyers and homeowners when their respective LTVs are low.

Typically, a "low" LTV loan is one in which the loan-to-value is 80 percent or less. In some instances, however, 70 percent is considered "low". The cut-off point depends on the mortgage lender and the mortgage product.

On a home purchase, the one way to lower LTV is to make a larger downpayment, thereby reducing the LTV equation's numerator. Buying a home for below-market value would not reduce LTV, for example, because the purchase price would be used as the equation's denominator.

On a home loan refinance, the denominator is always the home's appraised value.


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Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Did You Ask: Has There Been A Mortgage Rate Reprice In The Last Hour?


Yesterday, several mortgage lenders issued three separate "rate sheets" in response to the changing mortgage market.

It was the fourth time in the last 6 trading days that mortgage lenders issued multiple rate sheets in a day, and continued the trend that started in mid-January.

The yo-yo nature of mortgage rates underscores the importance of making mortgage rate comparisons within a limited time frame.

Multiple quotes should be gathered with an hour of each other and, even then, it's prudent to ask your lender: "Has there been a mortgage rate reprice in the last hour?"

The current market volatility is in contrast to the "normal" environment of one-rate-sheet-per-day to which mortgage rate shoppers have been accustomed. But with the changing economy, we all have to adapt.

Mortgage rate quotes from this morning won't necessarily be valid this afternoon so if you're in the market for a home loan, be sure to do your shopping in a limited timeframe and don't forget to ask about the reprice.

(Image courtesy: City of Peterborough)

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